Question

Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction

70%

(56% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

17.1

Community Peer Score

11.5

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Sep 1, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 3, 2023

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Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election?

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Sep 1, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 3, 2023

Elections

Geopolitics

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

40%