5
27 forecasters
Which party will lead the next German government?
CDU/CSU
SPD
AfD
The Greens
Top Key Factors
Positive development of economy and labor market.
Increases Likelihood for CDU/CSU
AfD polling as strongest force
Increases Likelihood for AfD
Reduction of housing prices and better affordability.
Increases Likelihood for CDU/CSU
Less media attention of migration and related issues.
Decreases Likelihood for AfD