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10
comments
56
forecasters
Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election?
Lai Ching-te (DPP)
result:
Yes
Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)
result:
No
Ko Wen-je (TPP)
result:
No
1 other
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Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Lai Ching-te (DPP)
Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)
Ko Wen-je (TPP)
Others (1)
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Aug 30, 2023
Closes:
Jan 13, 2024
Resolved:
Jan 13, 2024
Elections
Politics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
Will the Taiwan Issue Stay Quiet During Trump’s Term?
AntiWar
•
Nov 11, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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