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5
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30
forecasters
Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026?
15%
chance
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Top Key Factors
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Protests indicate political instability
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
Opposition's victory claim adds tension
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
Potential spark for a coup climate
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
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Authors:
rduubs
Opened:
Sep 8, 2023
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Sep 10, 2023
Politics
π 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
Mass arrests followed Cameroonβs post-election violence in which 16 people died, minister says
Associated Press
β’
Nov 13, 2025
In Cameroon, Hopes for Change Have Been Stifled
Jacobin
β’
Nov 8, 2025
Cameroonβs 92-year-old president Paul Biya sworn in again as opposition cries foul
Associated Press
β’
Nov 6, 2025
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