22 comments
79 forecasters
Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
70%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2023
Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?
3% chance
769
How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?
5 metro areas
(4 - 7)
5 metro areas
(4 - 7)
97 forecasters
Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?
3% chance
49