Question

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

219 comments219

Total Forecasters723

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

community: 2.5%

median 2.5%mean 7.5%

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

As election looms, 3 of 4 voters fear political violence

Raw Story•Oct 8, 2024

How a Newspaper Revolution Sparked Protesters and Influencers, Disinformation and the Civil War

CounterPunch•Oct 10, 2024

So What Happens After November 5th?

CounterPunch•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

63%

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

85%

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

As election looms, 3 of 4 voters fear political violence

Raw Story•Oct 8, 2024

How a Newspaper Revolution Sparked Protesters and Influencers, Disinformation and the Civil War

CounterPunch•Oct 10, 2024

So What Happens After November 5th?

CounterPunch•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

63%

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

85%