🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many Flex Alerts will be issued in California in 2024?

Resolved :00.327
6
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction0.327 (0.144 - 0.738)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
0.1441
0.3274
0.7377
6.7%

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
150.1
Community Peer Score
129.8
Authors:
DavidHume
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
California Independent System Operator
Energy
Solar power
Environmental science
Renewable energy
California
Solar physics
Plug-in electric vehicles in the United States

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