Question

Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning?

Resolved:No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction

0.8%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

5.2

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 27, 2023

Closes:

Sep 30, 2023

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 27, 2023

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026?

20%

Will George Santos receive a pardon or commutation?

37%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

41%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 27, 2023

Closes:

Sep 30, 2023

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 27, 2023

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026?

20%

Will George Santos receive a pardon or commutation?

37%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

41%