πŸ”­ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global β€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm β€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

15
122
168 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
Mike Johnson (R)
yes
Kevin Hern (R)
annulled
Elise Stefanik (R)
no
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
no
Nancy Mace (R)
no
Byron Donalds (R)
no
Austin Scott (R)
no
Tom Emmer (R)
no
Steve Scalise (R)
no
Don Bacon (R)
no
Donald Trump (R)
no
Fred Upton (R)
no
Kevin Hern (R)
no
Lee Zeldin (R)
no
Patrick McHenry (R)
no
Kevin McCarthy (R)
no
Andy Biggs (R)
no
Jim Jordan (R)
no
Jim Banks (R)
no
Tom Cole (R)
no
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
no
Resolved Oct 25, 2023
Community Baseline Score
-103.1
Community Peer Score
-2.7
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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