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122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Oct 3, 2023
Closes:Nov 15, 2023
Resolved:Oct 25, 2023
Politics
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Republican tensions rise over Kevin McCarthy’s faltering push to fight California redistricting
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Give Them Nothing, Speaker Johnson
American Spectator•Oct 24, 2025
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Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Lisa Nandy
10%
6 others
92 forecasters

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

Kamala Harris
Annulled
Nikki Haley
Annulled
Ron DeSantis
Annulled
5 others
68 forecasters

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?

2023
71
2024
70
2025
48.3
2 others
20 forecasters
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