122 comments

168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes

Kevin Hern (R)Annulled

Steve Scalise (R)result: No

Mike Johnson (R)

Kevin Hern (R)

Steve Scalise (R)

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 3, 2023

Closes:

Nov 15, 2023

Resolved:

Oct 25, 2023

🏆 2023 Leaderboard

Republicans torch anti-Trump 'No Kings' protests, say Dems fear angering leftists in shutdown fight

FOX News•Oct 18, 2025

The Voting Rights Act Is in Brett Kavanaugh’s Hands. God Help Us.

Slate•Oct 18, 2025

Did JD Vance Just Set the Ultimate ‘No Kings’ PR Trap for the Dems?

PJ Media•Oct 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?