Question

How many Palestinian prisoners/detainees will Israel announce that it will release before 2024?

Resolved:240
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
203
(109 - 298)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%109.2
median202.8
upper 75%297.5
Upper bound
>60000.3%

What was the final result?240

Community Baseline Score
94.3
Community Peer Score
49.5
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 10, 2023