Question
When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
2042
(2033 - 2058)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2033 | — |
| median | 2042 | — |
| upper 75% | 2058 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >410235840000% | 6.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2023
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2023
