Question

Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?

Resolved:Yes
16
59
Total Forecasters160
Community Prediction
85%
(80% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
20.1
Community Peer Score
9.7
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Oct 20, 2023
Closes:Oct 31, 2023
Resolves:Oct 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 21, 2023
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard