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1
26 forecasters
1
1 comment
26 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

US Federal Min Wage Increase before 2025

Resolved:No
26 forecasters
if yes
if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

53%
53%
Resolved:Annulled

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

49%
49%
Resolved:No
if Yes53%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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16 comments161 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%chance
4 comments4 forecasters

Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election40%
19 comments73 forecasters

Date of Next Minimum Wage Raise

Current estimate
>20 Jan 2029
2 comments139 forecasters

US president's net worth 4x during their presidency?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202656%
2027-202874%
3 comments34 forecasters

US UBI Adoption by 2035?

10%chance
5 comments24 forecasters

% change in US hourly median wage relative to 2025?

0 comments30 forecasters

Democrat wins 2026 gubernatorial election in these states?

Ohio44.5%
Nevada53%
Kansas34%
Iowa58%
13 others
2 comments34 forecasters

Will the Trump administration impose price controls?

57%chance