Question

What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024?

Resolved:69.1

7 comments7

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction

77.4

(72.8 - 80.9)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<50	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>90
community	0.4%	72.83	77.39	80.9	4.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<50	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	72.83	—
median	77.39	—
upper 75%	80.9	—
Upper bound
>90	4.9%	—

What was the final result?69.1

Community Peer Score

12.6

Community Baseline Score

29.0

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 1, 2023

Closes:

Feb 29, 2024

Resolved:

Jun 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2024

Global Pulse Tournament

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Americans Are Gloomier Than Ever About Their Financial Future

Newsweek•Sep 1, 2025

Americans More Worried About Rising Prices In New Survey

Forbes•Aug 29, 2025

August consumer confidence dips in US with jobs, tariffs and high prices driving most unease

NBC•Aug 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

40%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.3