100 forecasters

Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

2%chance

2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 1, 2023

Closes:

Feb 29, 2024

Resolved:

May 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2024

Global Pulse Tournament

Israel-Gaza Conflict

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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PBS NewsHour•Sep 16, 2025

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CNBC•Sep 16, 2025

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