41 comments
31 forecasters
How many North Korean individuals and entities will be sanctioned by the US in 2024 between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolved:Jun 11, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?
10% chance
63
When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?
Jun 2044
(Jul 2034 - >Jan 2050)
Jun 2044
(Jul 2034 - >Jan 2050)
29 forecasters
Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?
40 forecasters