Question
What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024?
Resolved:28.19Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
27.8
(27.2 - 28.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <23 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 27.17 | — |
| median | 27.77 | — |
| upper 75% | 28.36 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 1.4% | — |
What was the final result?28.19
Community Peer Score
5.1
Community Baseline Score
58.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024