Question
How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024?
Resolved:11Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
7.77
(6.4 - 9.71)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 6.396 | — |
| median | 7.77 | — |
| upper 75% | 9.708 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >25 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?11
Community Baseline Score
4.9
Community Peer Score
49.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 6, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2024
