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26
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26 forecasters
Global Pulse Tournament
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How many cases of vaccine-derived poliovirus will there be between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024 in the Democratic Republic of Congo?
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Number of wild polio cases
5 comments
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First year with no wild polio cases
2030-2034
30.1%
2035-2039
13.2%
2040-2044
10.8%
≥2050
27.7%
2 others
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Date of Worldwide Polio Eradication
Current estimate
Apr 2033
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60 forecasters
Ebola bundibugyo case first confirmed on US soil before 2027?
9%
chance
1 comment
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How many confirmed cases in the 2026 Ebola outbreak?
Sep 1, 2026
Upcoming
Outbreak end
Upcoming
10 comments
15 forecasters
# of US Clade I Mpox cases before 2027?
Current estimate
37.6 cases
2 comments
4 forecasters
Date of disease eradication?
Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)
May 2045
Malaria
Jan 2042
Measles
Sep 2041
Cysticercosis (pork tapeworm)
Aug 2039
5 others
26 comments
41 forecasters
Average US Measles Cases 2025 through 2030?
Current estimate
>1000 cases