52 forecasters

Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024?

85%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 85% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 1, 2023

Closes:

Feb 29, 2024

Resolved:

Jun 6, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2024