Question

Will Israel and Hamas conduct a prisoner exchange involving ≥20 Israelis and ≥20 Palestinians in 2023?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
7.8
Community Peer Score
1.0
Opened:Nov 21, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2023