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25 forecasters
Will a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?
80%chance
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Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 20, 2023
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Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033?
85% chance
38
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
90% chance
36
When will China manufacture extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment domestically?
15 Apr 2028
(24 Mar 2026 - 16 Jun 2030)
15 Apr 2028
(24 Mar 2026 - 16 Jun 2030)
28 forecasters