2 comments
46 forecasters
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
33%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 20, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch