Question

What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?

Resolved:0

14 comments14

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction

1.15

(0.429 - 3.11)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>100
community	0.4292	1.146	3.111	0.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	0.4292	—
median	1.146	—
upper 75%	3.111	—
Upper bound
>100	0.5%	—

What was the final result?0

Community Peer Score

22.6

Community Baseline Score

190.6

Authors:

RyanBeck PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Dec 1, 2023

Closes:

Feb 29, 2024

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2024

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