conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
COVID VOC or Worse Before March 1, 2024? | Peak Respiratory Magnitudes 2023-2024? (COVID-19) |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <4 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 7.123 | — |
| median | 7.526 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.959 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >40 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result? 7.7
Community Peer Score
8.2
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jul 12, 2024
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
33%
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
07 Jan 2026
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jul 12, 2024
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
33%
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
07 Jan 2026