Question

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

2

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction

32%

(8.6% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

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Authors:

Opened:

Dec 28, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2069

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2023

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 28, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2069

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2023