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6 comments
19 forecasters

Will Biren or Moore Threads be publicly traded before 2028?

Moore Threads67%
Biren50%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
RyanBeckDerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:Dec 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Technology
Computing and Math
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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
40 forecasters

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

70% chance
57

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
Nata
30%
1 other
18 forecasters
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