95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

Iran

Lebanon

Saudi Arabia

Authors:

RyanBeck MetaCalculator

Opened:

Dec 11, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2024

Resolved:

Apr 17, 2024

Israel-Gaza Conflict

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

And the Winner Is...Israel

Townhall•Oct 15, 2025

There is a fresh warlord-led power rising in Gaza. This is how it's threatening to topple Hamas... along with 13 other flashpoints that I fear could derail Trump's peace: MARK ALMOND

Daily Mail•Oct 15, 2025

The battle to keep peace in Gaza: Experts fear Hamas will bring ceasefire to an end as it unleashes bloody revenge - and the mistake Trump could make to undo his hard work

Daily Mail•Oct 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?