95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

Iran

Lebanon

Saudi Arabia

Authors:

RyanBeck MetaCalculator

Opened:

Dec 11, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2024

Resolved:

Apr 17, 2024

Israel-Gaza Conflict

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Iran Calls for Islamic NATO

Newsweek•Sep 15, 2025

Can Qatar trust the U.S. ever again?

OpEdNews•Sep 15, 2025

Turkey wary of Israeli threat following airstrike on Hamas in Qatar

Associated Press•Sep 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?