🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

8
6
76 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CountryMe
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
20%
South Korea
6%
Ukraine
4%
Germany
1%
Finland
1%
Poland
1%
Turkey
1%
Japan
1%
Taiwan
1%
Authors:
Dumbledores_Army
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute
Syria
United Kingdom
Finland
International Atomic Energy Agency
Poland
Donald Trump
Pakistan
Iran
France

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