• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
5 forecasters
3
0 comments
5 forecasters
Politics
condition

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2105

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2145
if Yes46%
if No68.8%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
71 comments115 forecasters

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

52%chance
21 comments85 forecasters

Will nuclear wpn be dtntd in/above EU state by the following dates?

March 15, 2024result: No
March 15, 2025result: No
March 15, 2026result: No
March 15, 20270.2%
3 others
39 comments419 forecasters

World War by 2151

60%chance
9 comments85 forecasters

Country leaving the EU by 2030?

4%chance
27 comments59 forecasters

No civil war in non-ex-communist Euro country

87%chance
0 comments66 forecasters

5Y after AGI, World War III?

8%chance
10 comments59 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

51%chance
10 comments77 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

20273%
20307%
203515%