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10
20 forecasters
3
10 comments
20 forecasters
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

Resolved:Yes
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?

54%
54%

New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?

40%
40%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes54%
if No40%
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