Question

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

123 comments123

Total Forecasters211

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 10.4%

Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

What Was Gained by the Ukraine War?

American Conservative•Oct 8, 2024

US military compiled list of American weapons systems that could help Ukraine in the war with Russia

CNN•Oct 9, 2024

Ukraine war briefing: End the war in 2025 through ‘decisive action’, says Zelenskyy

Guardian•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

60%