33 comments
65 forecasters
Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024?
44%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 44% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Dec 22, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2023
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
28 forecasters
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
>01 Jan 2026
(>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)
31 forecasters
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
52% chance
122