Question
Will the US Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to the presidential immunity case before February 1, 2024?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters9
Community Prediction
70%
(55% - 82%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
-13.6
Community Peer Score
-0.8
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 15, 2024
Resolves:Jan 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?
17 Oct 2025
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
>01 Jan 2026
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
55%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 15, 2024
Resolves:Jan 15, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?
17 Oct 2025
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)
>01 Jan 2026
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
55%