Question

Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

Resolved:Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters431

Community Prediction

75%

(70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.1

Community Peer Score

28.1

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 15, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Economy & Business

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United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Unemployment rises to 4% as Missouri adds 3,700 jobs in May

•Jun 19, 2025

US unemployment ticked down, hovering at historically low levels

•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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