🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
10
13
Total Forecasters454
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
63.6
Community Peer Score
39.2
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard
OpenAI
Ilya Sutskever

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