Question

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

Resolved:No

31 comments31

Total Forecasters478

Community Prediction

40%

(25% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

24.7

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 16, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Elections

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

56%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%