🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

Resolved :No40%
14
31
Total Forecasters478
Community Prediction40% (25% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
3.9
Community Peer Score
24.7
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
US Electoral College
2024 Elections (US)
Faithless elector

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