16 comments
515 forecasters
In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
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If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
26 Jul 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 01 Aug 2027)
33 forecasters
Will the US Supreme Court change its membership size before 2050?
38% chance
173