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19
781
forecasters
4
19 comments
781 forecasters
ACX 2026 Prediction Contest
4 more...
Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
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20%
chance
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11 comments
205 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase during Trump's second term?
2%
chance
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
0
10%
3 or more
9%
1 comment
6 forecasters
Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.267
8 comments
25 forecasters
Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
4 comments
194 forecasters
Will court change winner of '26 election for House, Senate or statewide office?
6%
chance
14 comments
504 forecasters
Federal judge impeached by Republicans before Jan 3, 2027?
7%
chance
13 comments
33 forecasters
Date Next SCOTUS Vacancy Arises
Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
0 comments
24 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%