18 comments
487 forecasters
Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024?
10%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Aug 14, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
263
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
59% chance
59
When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?
03 Jun 2027
(22 May 2025 - Jun 2032)
03 Jun 2027
(22 May 2025 - Jun 2032)
96 forecasters