61 comments
497 forecasters
Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Nov 30, 2024
Resolved:Dec 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?
20% chance
26
Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?
10% chance
249
When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?
01 Mar 2026
(26 Oct 2025 - 26 Feb 2027)
01 Mar 2026
(26 Oct 2025 - 26 Feb 2027)
57 forecasters