Question

Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?

Resolved:No

61 comments61

Total Forecasters497

Community Prediction

(0.5% - 1.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

49.2

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

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Verge•Jul 11, 2025

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Daily Mail•Jul 4, 2025

UK electric car sales up by a third in first half of 2025, preliminary data suggests

Guardian•Jul 4, 2025

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Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

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When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

02 Feb 2026