593 forecasters

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

0.5%chance

0.5%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

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