Question

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Resolved:No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters589

Community Prediction

0.5%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

16.9

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

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