Question
Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters411
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 2%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
39.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
35%
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1.4%
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
50%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
35%
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1.4%
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
50%