🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
9
49
Total Forecasters473
Community Prediction99% (98% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
75.9
Community Peer Score
36.4
Authors:
christian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Speaker of the US House of Representatives
2024 United States Senate elections
Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

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