🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

MetaculusM

Question

Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?

Resolved :No1%

4

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

77.2

Community Peer Score

22.8

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 Leaderboard

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 Leaderboard