623 forecasters

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?

0.2%chance

0.2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jan 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

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When will this shutdown become the longest ever? Very soon.

USA Today•Nov 3, 2025

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USA Today•Nov 3, 2025

All government shutdowns disrupt science − in 2025, the consequences extend far beyond a lapse in funding

The Conversation•Nov 3, 2025

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