623 forecasters

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?

0.2%chance

0.2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jan 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2024

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

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‘Things have changed’: Schumer threatens government shutdown over healthcare

MSNBC•Sep 14, 2025

Government shutdown draws near as Democrats push for healthcare funding

Guardian•Sep 13, 2025

Schumer warns of a shutdown if Republicans don’t accept Democrats’ health care demands

PBS NewsHour•Sep 12, 2025

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